Utah Jazz at Denver Nuggets
The Nuggets may not have any superstars after dealing Carmelo Anthony to the New York Knicks last season, but they are a team more than ever. Denver is 8-4 after hammering the Heat on Friday night. With the win, George Karl's squad improved its home record to 6-1 (5-2 ATS). The Jazz, meanwhile, had won five in row prior to an overtime home loss to the Lakers on Wednesday. It must be noted, though, that Utah is a different team at home than it is on the road. At home the Jazz are 5-1 overall and 4-2 ATS. On the road they are just 1-3 overall and 1-3 ATS.
Phoenix Suns at San Antonio Spurs Normally the San Antonio Spurs don't have an advantage injury-wise over opponents, with Manu Ginobili out until at least February due to a hand injury. This time, though, the Phoenix Suns will likely be in even worse shape on Sunday. Both Steve Nash and Grant Hill missed Friday night's home loss to the Nets with quadriceps injuries. Nash has a contusion and Hill is dealing with a tendon strain. By the sound of things, the Suns are not going to risk bringing them back too early. If Nash and Hill cannot go on Sunday, they will again be replaced by Ronnie Price and Shannon Brown, respectively. This is not a recipe that can be expected to end a three-game slide. Phoenix is coming off losses to the Lakers, Cavs, and Nets, and the team failed to cover the spread in all three.
Today's betting combo is : Nuggets + Spurs @ 3,65
Utah Jazz at Denver Nuggets
Take 'Under' 51.5 Denver vs. New England (8 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 14)
These two teams hook up in what should be a great game. Given that the last time these two teams met the final score was 41-23, don't expect the same offensive result here. For starters, the Patriots do not want to get embarrassed once again in the playoffs like they did last year and this defense will have a big role to fill. Combine that with the fact that the Broncos are not going to give up double-digits in points due to botched special teas as that would be something that this team undoubtedly works on this time around. Plus, if the Broncos are to have a chance in this game I'd suspect it would be through their defense and their front line rather than through Tim Tebow. The Broncos are a much different team in offensive prowess on the road as compared to at home. Look for this game to play differently than the first game between these two teams as this game likely goes under the posted total.
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Combination Bet (Final Part)
Event: San Francisco at Seattle
Date: Dec 24, 2011
Selection: Seattle + 2.5
We're back live with our betting combos, most of them on US sports. For this weekend , we have 2 selections from NFL, a winning tickets which can pay 3.64 to 1.
Minnesota Vikings - Washington Redskins
The Redskins are coming off their best performance of the season, a game in which they dominated the New York Giants. But that being said, this team is not good enough to be laying this many points, as they are very inconsistent. The Redskins have won just two games since Oct. 2 and the underdog is the only side to consider in this matchup. The Vikings are no good either, but they still do have talent at a couple of key positions and that will allow them to remain in this game for 60 minutes. Minnesota was depleted last year when they went into Washington and beat the Skins, 17-13, and it would not surprise me if that happens again in 2011. Minnesota is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Saturday games. Washington is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
Seattle over San Francisco
For starters, these two coaches hate each other's guts. From the Stanford vs. USC days and running up the score up on each other, to winning as a 40-point underdog outright on the road with a third-string quarterback, the history is deep between these two coaches. In fact, the best thing that probably happened to Pete Carroll's coaching was Jim Harbaugh. Carroll now has to work for a playoff spot rather than finishing below .500 and being given home field advantage against the Saints. Seattle has worked its way up to 7-7 and that is primarily due a defense that is young, athletic and opportunistic. I know we were on the Niners against the Steelers on MNF, but this is a dangerous game for San Fran. Seattle has revenge from a big loss earlier this year and has covered their last 6 of 7 contests, including winning their last three games by a combined total of 58 points against the Bears, Rams and Eagles. I like the Seahawks at home here where they typically play well, as they seek an outside shot at the playoffs and with San Fran likely having a letdown after the big MNF win. The Seahawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog as well.
Seattle +2.5 1.91 + Minnesota +6.5 1.91
Bet Type @3.64
The big game of the round this one, both in terms of teams appeal, but also in terms of qualification drama ~Inter Milano vs Barcelona FC.
Team mainly on edge here is mighty Barcelona, that managed to pull themselves in a tough spot after losing at home to Rubin Kazan and then failing to win in Russia, despite losing some unspeakable opportunities.
Tonight, they will host Inter, a team they failed to demolish in Meazza despite a super game from them. Now things have changed and Barcelona is having some problems, mainly cause of absences and some virus infected players that will miss this. Most importantly, Messi is doubtful and not expected to start in the game. Since last game of them is against Dinamo is frozen December Kiev, one thing is certain for them: winning is absolute necessity.
Inter are no pushovers of course, they will pursuit a win here and try to take advantage of Barca’s absences, but in this motivation I would never expect Barca to win. They have quite a deep squad and if you ask me, game has huge chance to end between a draw and a home win by one goal, a marginal one.
Our pick for the day isBarcelona to win at HT @ 2,40 at Intertops.
Combo of the day ~ the winning ticket ~
Debreceni VSC v Liverpool FC Nov 24, 2009 14:45 Liverpool FC 1.25
Glasgow Rangers v VfB Stuttgart Nov 24, 2009 14:45 Game Total OVER 2½ 1.95
FC Barcelona v Inter Milan Nov 24, 2009 14:45 Barcelona HT 2.40
Arsenal FC v Standard Liege Nov 24, 2009 14:45 Arsenal FC 1.25
FC Unirea Urziceni v FC Sevilla Nov 24, 2009 14:45 FC Unirea Urziceni or draw
Combined odds @10,21 at Intertops
The expansion of the sports betting market has a new mine of gold.
After expanding in continental and southern Europe, the global gambling industry is now going east and focusing on the Balkan states and Eastern Europe for its further expansion. Especially the Balkan states are increasingly drawing a lot of interest, despite - or perhaps because - of the current global economic crisis. And the key figures of the Balkan gambling market account for this interest: A market size of Euro 4.5 billion (gross revenue), above-average popularity of gambling, particularly of sports betting, 130 million people, and the impending EU-membership of many states, just to mention a few. The consulting firm MECN has compiled a new study, "The Balkan Gambling Markets," analysing these exciting markets in great detail.
As per Razbet.com : Gambling market of Euro 4.5 billion and more to come. The Balkan gambling markets (Greece, Turkey, Croatia, Slovenia, Serbia, Montenegro, Romania, and Bulgaria) already have a remarkable market size, and most experts confirm that the Balkan markets have a great growth potential in the coming years:
- Total gambling market of Euro 4.5 billion - In 2007 the total Balkan gambling market's estimated gross revenue (after payout of prizes) was ca. Euro 4.5 billion; the figure for turnover/wagers came to ca. Euro 25 billion. If nonlicensed gambling operators were included, these figures would be even higher.
- Great growth potential - More than 60% of the experts surveyed by MECN believe that the growth potential of the Balkan gambling market is great or even very great. Hardly any market insiders (only 3% all surveyed experts) believe the market has only a small growth potential.
- Betting and interactive sector drive the Balkan gambling markets - According to market insiders, the betting and interactive sectors have the greatest growth potential in the Balkan gambling industry.
- Increasing liberalisation - On the whole, the experts believe that the Balkan nations will liberalise their gambling markets.
Some forerunners among the gambling operators are paving the way
Some forerunners among the global key players in the retail and interactive gambling market are already getting established in the Balkan states. For example, Intralot is on the way to becoming a retail betting heavyweight in the region. Regarding interactive gambling, Sportingbet is already realising about 4% of its business in Bulgaria whereas Bwin and Bet-at-home have just recently increased their focus and investments in the Balkan region.
- Future investment strategy of gambling operators - According to the MECN survey, about 20%-30% of the operators surveyed are currently planning to increase their investment in the Balkans - primarily in Croatia, Romania, and Greece. The majority of the operators surveyed are currently in the process of developing their Balkan market strategy and evaluating whether/how to increase their investment and focus in the near future.
- Leading Internet operators provide localised offerings in nearly all Balkan states - More and more Internet operators are adding Balkan languages and currencies to their localised offerings. For example, nearly all major operators offer localised versions of their products in Turkey and Greece.You can read a few examples on Razpoker.com
The new MECN report includes analyses of all gambling sectors, current market figures, legal and tax information, ... For this report MECN was able to gather some of the most renowned local market insiders and authors.
Maybe some of you continue to see the local bookie on the coffee shop down the street . This is not the way it should be ....
Nassau County District Attorney Kathleen Rice and Nassau County Police Department Commissioner Lawrence Mulvey announced Wednesday the arrests of 12 men in connection with a Queens-based gambling ring that is estimated to have taken in more than $30 million in illegal sports wagers over the past five years. The arrests were made in the early morning hours of Nov. 10, as detectives raided the ring's College Point 'wire room,' a safety deposit box and several of the member's automobiles and homes.
Arrested and charged with promoting gambling - 1st degree and conspiracy - 5th degree were brothers and alleged ringleaders Stephen Rozich, 55, of Douglaston and Daniel Rozich, 52, of Little Neck. Both brothers were arrested last Monday morning at their homes.
Also charged with the same crimes are Michael Donaghy, 27, of Glen Cove; Luis Castro (who, as of press time, had not yet been apprehended), 29, of Westbury; Gerald Bernot, 62, of Farmingdale; Douglas Leung, 33, of Bethpage; Jeffrey Dunn, 40, of Little Neck; Fred Levine, 59, of Flushing; James McDonnell (who, as of press time, had not yet been apprehended), 70, of Bayside; Antonio Ambroselli, 46, of Whitestone; George Rudzinski, 66, of Beechhurst; and Frank McDonnell, 41, of Williston Park.
All 12 men, who face a maximum of four years in prison if convicted of the charges, pleaded not guilty at their arraignment last week.
Rice said that from March 2008 through early November, undercover detectives from the Nassau County Police Department's District Attorney Squad placed numerous bets with an illegal betting ring based first in Flushing and then College Point in Queens. Bettors would either call a phone number and place their bets with the wire room and the "sheetwriter" directly, or they would use one of numerous Nassau and Suffolk County "runners" to act as a go-between between themselves and the operation. A gambling organization's sheetwriter is largely responsible for recording the bets and running the day-to-day operations of the scheme. A runner is responsible for recruiting and collecting bets for the group. A runner usually receives a commission based on his clients' betting activity.
According to Rice, the investigation has identified Michael Donaghy as the ring's main sheetwriter and that in addition to the seven runners charged last Monday, the investigation will remain highly active as authorities continue to uncover additional tentacles of the operation.
Through the extensive financial investigation, undercover activity and surveillance, Rice said that the betting ring is estimated to have taken in more than $30 million in wagers on college and professional football alone during the past five years. Authorities believe that the Rozich brothers have been in the sport betting business for more than 25 years.
"Gambling on sports is not a victimless crime," Rice said. "The multi-million dollar profits these operations take in are not generally spent on tuition bills or charitable giving. These profits are often the lifeblood of something more sinister. We will continue to follow the money. It never ceases to amaze me the extent to which people will go to avoid an honest day's work. In addition to breaking the law, gambling rings cheat the tax system and skirt the rules we are all forced to live by."
Rice said that search warrants executed Monday resulted in the seizure of approximately $50,000 cash, gambling records, gambling equipment and four vehicles.
Handling the case for the District Attorney's Office is Assistant District Attorney Joseph Dompkowski of the DA's Rackets Bureau.
The charges against the defendants are merely accusations and the defendants are presumed innocent until and unless proven guilty.
Stay online , stay safe !
Following a staking strategy is very important.
The majority of sports bettors lose in the long run basically because they do not follow a sensible betting staking strategy. Professional gamblers manage to stay professional mainly because they adhere to a staking management system.
In general,soccer bettors increase the size of their bets too quickly whether they go on a winning or losing streak. Without a system, one is more likely to place too much of his winnings or chase his losses on the next game's to the benefit of the bookmaker. Undue risk is put on individual bets when you do this.
Following a betting staking plan inherently instills discipline in your betting patterns. A systematic method of increasing your bets progressively protects your betting bank and ensures long-term profitability.
1. Nominate a fixed sum of the funds you have available for betting. This will be your Betting Bank. (We recommend setting up an actual bank account for this.)
2. Divide your total Betting Bank into 100 units.
3. When your wins adds your bank up to 125 units or more, divide this total into 100 units again, to the nearest euro (or dollar). This will be your new Betting Bank with an increased size per unit.
4. Do this every time your Betting Bank reaches 125 units.
Assume your initial Betting Bank is 1,000 euro.
Dividing this by 100 makes each betting unit 10 euro.
After 10 bets, your total funds available for betting (including your wins) become 1,250 euro which is 125 units according to your Betting Bank.Divide this 1250 euro (your new Betting Bank) into 100 units.The size of each of your betting unit is now 12.5 euro. (You may choose to round this up to 12 euro or 13 euro.)
If you choose to be less aggressive, you may want to wait until your betting bank becomes more than 120 units before you increase the size of your betting units. For example, 130 units or 150 units. The reverse is true for this betting strategy in the unlikely event that you suffer losses. If your initial Betting Bank goes down to 75 units, you divide the 75 by 100 and your decreased betting unit is now7.5 euro in the above example.
Good luck , be smart but bet smarter !
Recognizing Value - the Key to winning
Risk is part of everyday life, more so than most people probably realize. From crossing the road to the more obvious financial decisions such as buying a house, or starting a business, all involve varying amounts of uncertainty which must be considered.
Gambling is the purest expression of risk, yet even when presented with a seemingly simple choice of potential outcomes for an unknown event, such as a football match, many bettors display a worrying ignorance of the concept of value and the fundamental mathematical principals involved. In simple terms, if a bettor cannot recognize 'value' they will never be a long term winner.
With 10 BET you can feel absolutely confident that you are dealing with a bookmaker who is experienced and regulated in the U.K, the most respected gaming environment in the world. They offer a wide variety of leagues from all over the world as well as Handicaps & Over/Under bets on all leagues and sports. Compare 10bet's odds with other bookmakers and Betting Exchanges and you'll notice they offer the most attractive prices and PayOut's in the industry.
Take a look at this seemingly simple mathematical puzzle, known as the Monty Hall paradox (named after the host of 'Let's Make a Deal', a popular US show in the 60's & 70's which formed the basis of the poser):
An unbiased game-show host has placed a car behind one of three doors. There is a goat behind each of the other doors. You have no prior knowledge that allows you to distinguish among the doors. 'First you point toward a door,' he says. 'Then I'll open one of the other doors to reveal a goat. After I've shown you the goat, you make your final choice whether to stick with your initial choice of doors, or to switch to the remaining door. You win whatever is behind the door.' You begin by pointing to door number 1. The host shows you that door number 3 has a goat.
Do you gain value and see your chances of winning the car increase by switching to Door 2 or do you stay with Door 1 as it has an equal chance with only two doors left to choose from? When this question was posed in Parade magazine, 10,000 readers complained that the published answer was wrong - including several maths professors.
The assumption of 'equal probability', while being intuitively seductive, is wrong. The simple answer is to always switch doors. The car is behind one of the two closed doors, but you have no way of knowing which. Most contestants intuitively see no advantage in switching and assume that now there are only two doors, each must have an equal probability of revealing a car. In fact, your chances of winning the car actually double by switching to the door the host offers. If you switch, you gain value as theoretically you now have a 2/3 chance of winning the car. If you stayed with your original selection you have just a 1/3 chance of winning.
The principle is underlined by increasing the number of doors to 100. If 99 doors have a goat behind them and only one has a prize, if the player picks a door and then the host opens 98 of the other doors that were all shown to contain goats and then gives the player the opportunity to switch, the intelligent player would switch. The reason being that on average, in 99 out of 100 times the other door will contain the prize, as 99 out of 100 times the player first picked a door with a goat.
The Hole-In-One Gang
An excellent example of how this concept applies to betting was demonstrated by two sharp punters - Paul Simmons and John Carter - the self-styled Hole-In-One-Gang. In the summer of 1991, after studying the form, they calculated the chances of any given golfer in a tournament hitting a hole-in-one at around 50%. So they toured the UK placing maximum bets on the chances of a hole-in-one being scored by any player at a major that year. Lazy bookmakers who didn't take the time to study the statistical likelihood put a finger in the air, and quoted amazing odds with 100-1 not uncommon.
That year, there were hole-in-one's scored at 3 of the 4 majors and the pair's winnings were reputed to be around £1million. Although it is difficult to put exact odds on a hole-in-one, it is clear that it is nowhere near 100/1. Due to the tradition of buying everyone in the clubhouse a drink after a successful hole-in-one, you can now buy insurance against it happening. Most insurers would probably refer to Francis Scheid's (retired chairman of Boston University Maths Dept) 2000 study for Golf Digest. The magazine has kept hole-in-one stats since the 1950's and Scheid put the odds of a Tour player scoring a hole-in-one at 3,000-1. You can make a rough calculation for an average event like this week's Johnnie Walker Championship at Gleneagles.
4 (short holes)*156 (players before cut)*2(rounds) PLUS 4*70 (players after the cut) * 2
= (1,248+560) 1,808 attempts against an average frequency of 1 in 3,000.
Probability Yes: 1,808/3,000=0.6026 or a 60% chance of occurring with true odds of 1.66
Probability No: 1,192/3,000=0.3973 or a 39% chance of occurring with true odds of 2.52
The hole-in-one gang were getting exceptional value on their bets playing at odds of 100/1 when in reality the chance of a hole-in-one occurring using Scheid's figures was no more than a 2/3 (1.666) shot at true odds.
Such notions are all too common mistakes in gambling when bettors and bookmakers frequently act against their best interests. It doesn't matter if it's a game show, playing the lottery or sports betting, understanding and finding value is the key to profit. Like the Monty Hall question, successful betting requires the skill to understand whether the odds offered on an event represent the statistical probability of that event occurring - if it doesn't then you will have an edge and gain value.
So , be smart ... bet smarter !
After a lose one , we re back with a winner ...
Benfica won pretty luck in the 89th minute , and Toronto beat NJ at 11 points !
The things are going well so , good luck !
Coming back soon with new combos !